The forecast. The market. The evidence.
Analysis recorded · Oct 26 01:32 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-02 16:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
Analysis recorded · Oct 26 01:32 UTC
Data as of · 2026-11-02 16:04
Read the full analysis and its supporting records.
AI Predicted
Los Angeles FC Win
Prediction MissedCompare match records, season figures and the source dates.
Prediction
Los Angeles FC Win
Confidence
75%
How strongly our analysis backs this pick
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Key Analysis Points
LAFC is on a 5-match winning streak with strong attacking and defensive stats.
Head-to-head history heavily favors LAFC, especially at home (5 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss all-time).
Minnesota United remains unbeaten in 5 but has drawn 3 of those and concedes more frequently.
Probabilities stored with this match. The combined AI forecast is shown separately above.
3 of 3 independent forecasts agree with the final pick.
Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 2 - 1
Based on recent form, LAFC is performing at a very high level, especially at home where they have lost only once this season. Their key players, particularly Bouanga and Vela, are healthy and in form. The head-to-head record also strongly favors LAFC, with Minnesota rarely winning this matchup and struggling to secure victories at BMO Stadium. While Minnesota United's tactical improvements and away form under Ramsay are notable, LAFC's attacking depth and home advantage make them clear favorites.
Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 2 - 1
LAFC stands as clear favorites for this matchup. Their current 5-match winning streak, combined with elite home form (7-1-1) and league-leading +14 goal differential, demonstrates exceptional quality. Denis Bouanga's Golden Boot-leading form (11 goals as of June 2024) provides a clinical attacking edge, while LAFC's second-best defensive record (0.93 GA/game) limits scoring opportunities. Minnesota's recent form, while unbeaten, reveals defensive vulnerabilities (17 GA in 15 games) and an over-reliance on draws (3 in last 5). Historically, LAFC dominates this fixture with a 5W-5D-1L advantage, particularly at home. Minnesota's improvement under Ramsay offers tactical discipline away from home, but insufficient to overcome LAFC's comprehensive superiority in form, personnel, and home advantage at BMO Stadium.
Prediction: Los Angeles FC Win
Score: 2 - 1
LAFC enters this matchup as the clear favorite, anchored by an elite home record and a five-game winning streak. Under Steve Cherundolo, the team has maintained a high-intensity press that creates significant turnovers in the final third. With Denis Bouanga in peak scoring form, LAFC's offensive output is difficult to contain, especially at BMO Stadium where they historically dominate possession and pace. Their defensive stability, conceding only 0.93 goals per game, provides a solid foundation against counter-attacking threats. Minnesota United has shown marked improvement under Eric Ramsay, particularly in their tactical discipline and away form. However, historical trends heavily favor the home side, as Minnesota has historically struggled to secure points in Los Angeles. While the Loons possess the attacking quality to find the net through Pukki or Hlongwane, their tendency to concede goals in high-pressure away fixtures suggests they will struggle to outlast LAFC over 90 minutes.
Max probability 60.0% · Gap 35.0%p
Recorded · 2026-11-02 16:04
Los Angeles FC · 2025 · 3rd · 17W 9D 8L (GD +25)
Minnesota United · 2025 · 4th · 16W 10D 8L (GD +17)
Records as of this match, not current form.
Analysis Data · Recent results
Analysis Data · Recent meetings
Total
10
Home Wins
6
Draws
3
Away Wins
1
Last meeting: 2026-04-26 (0-1)
Analysis Data · Current season stats
Analysis Data · 5 source indices
Analysis Data · Last 8 matches performance
Sharp decline
Sharp decline
Overall · home/away records · recent form
Overall
Home/Away records
Recent
Analysis Data · Current form indicators
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 6
At Home
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
Away
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 2
Overall
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 5
At Home
Best: Win 1 · Unbeaten 3
Away
Best: Win 4 · Unbeaten 4
Rank and record by season
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 17W 9D 8L | +25 GD | 1.91 / 1.18 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 19W 7D 8L | +20 GD | 1.85 / 1.26 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #3 | 14W 10D 10L | +15 GD | 1.59 / 1.15 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #1 | 21W 4D 9L | 67 pts +28 GD | 1.94 / 1.12 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #9 | 12W 9D 13L | 45 pts +2 GD | 1.56 / 1.5 |
| Season | Comp. | Rank | Record | Standing points / win% / GD | Avg goals scored / allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Major League Soccer | #4 | 16W 10D 8L | +17 GD | 1.65 / 1.15 |
| 2024 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 15W 7D 12L | +9 GD | 1.71 / 1.44 |
| 2023 | Major League Soccer | #11 | 10W 11D 13L | -5 GD | 1.35 / 1.5 |
| 2022 | Major League Soccer | #6 | 14W 6D 14L | 48 pts -3 GD | 1.41 / 1.5 |
| 2021 | Major League Soccer | #5 | 13W 10D 11L | 49 pts -2 GD | 1.24 / 1.29 |
Registered players with season stats
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 7 Sonheungmin (34) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 99 Deniseu Buangga (32) | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| FW | 19 Tailreo Boideu (32) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| FW | 65 Amin Boudri (22) | 4 | 0 | - |
| FW | 27 Nathan Ordaz (56) | 2 | 1 | - |
| FW | 21 Raieon Raposo (27) | 1 | 0 | - |
| MF | 8 Mareuko Delgado (31) | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| MF | 11 Timoti Tilman (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 66 Matioe Choiniereu (27) | 5 | 2 | - |
| MF | 46 Seutepan Antuneseu Yuseutakio (30) Leg injury | 3 | 1 | - |
| MF | 24 Raieon Holringswedeu (35) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 4 Edi Segura (29) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 91 Eunkosi Beojiseu (30) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Raieon Poreuteuseu (27) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 14 Sereugi Palrensia (30) | 4 | 0 | - |
| GK | 1 Hyugo Yoriseu (40) | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pos | Player | GP | Goals | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW | 9 Kelvin Yeboah (26) | 5 | 2 | - |
| FW | 8 Tomas Chancalay (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| FW | 21 Bongokuhle Hlongwane (26) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 20 Wil Trapp (33) | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 26 Joaquin Pereyra (28) | 5 | 0 | - |
| MF | 30 Owen Gene (56) | 4 | 0 | - |
| MF | 24 Yulrian Geuresel (33) | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| MF | 67 Kareulroseu Habi (26) | 2 | 0 | - |
| MF | 10 Hameseu Rodeurigeseu (35) | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 2 Devin Padelford (23) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 25 Nectarios Triantis (23) | 5 | 1 | - |
| DF | 13 Anthony Markanich (27) | 5 | 0 | - |
| DF | 27 Dijei Teilreo (29) | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| DF | 3 Kail Deonkeon (29) | 3 | 0 | - |
| DF | 15 Maikeul Bakseuol (38) Lower body injury | 2 | 0 | - |
| DF | 5 Nicolas Romero (23) | 1 | 0 | - |
| GK | 12 Deureikeu Kaelreondeo (29) | 5 | 0 | - |
How to read these records: Three windows on team form · How much should head-to-head matter?
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Compare the same period, market and line. Open a market for its full source detail.
How to read these odds: Implied probability: why 2.00 becomes 50% · Why odds move
All available bet types with odds
The % under each odds figure is the odds-implied share. Tap a game number for odds movement and head-to-head records.
Moneyline
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | -172 | -143 | -137 |
| Draw | +275 | +314 | +316 |
| Away | +300 | +331 | +321 |
Spread (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | +160 | +180 |
| Draw | +260 | +269 |
| Away | +105 | +108 |
Spread (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | +380 | +398 |
| Draw | +360 | +391 |
| Away | -263 | -250 |
Moneyline
| Outcome | Odds | Closing | Overseas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | -200 | -161 | -137 |
| Draw | +310 | +337 | +316 |
| Away | +320 | +361 | +321 |
Spread (-1)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | +140 | +180 |
| Draw | +260 | +269 |
| Away | +120 | +108 |
Spread (-2)
| Outcome | Odds | Overseas |
|---|---|---|
| Home | +330 | +398 |
| Draw | +350 | +391 |
| Away | -227 | -250 |
Home
-172
53.6%
Draw
+275
23.8%
Away
+300
22.6%
Home
-200
58.0%
Draw
+310
21.2%
Away
+320
20.7%
Home
+160
Draw
+260
Away
+105
Home
+380
Draw
+360
Away
-263
Home
+170
32.2%
Draw
+250
24.9%
Away
+103
42.9%
Home
+410
17.1%
Draw
+370
18.5%
Away
-286
64.4%
Home
+140
Draw
+260
Away
+120
Home
+330
Draw
+350
Away
-227
Over
-109
Under
-169
Over
+115
40.4%
Under
-217
59.6%
Over
-115
Under
-159
Odd
-125
50.0%
Even
-125
50.0%
Full game · Spread (home) -1.0 · 11-02 (Mon) 10:30 KST · Korean domestic market. Purchase shares and historical samples describe this product.
| Type | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Initial | 2.67 | 3.59 | 2.12 |
| Opening | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Overseas | 2.80↑ | 3.69↓ | 2.08↓ |
| Overseas − domestic | +0.40 | +0.09 | -0.12 |
| # | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
Recorded purchase snapshot. Amount and payout index retain source values; units are not supplied.
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